kmusser: (America)
[personal profile] kmusser
Among many of my friends I'm seeing calls to become more politically active, to stay involved. For this I'm thankful, because it is what's needed if there's any hope for this country.

Part of what's getting me down though is that I have been politically active for almost 20 years now, both within and outside the Democratic party. This election is by far the most energized, most activist, most unified, and best funded that I've ever seen the Democratic party and we not only lost we got trounced. I'm not sure what more we can do. We did get 4 million more votes than last time, but Bush got 9 million more - their side is simply better at getting their people to vote. What's going to get more Democrats to vote short of stormtroopers pounding on their door, at which point it will be too late? And to the current voters - they've said loud and clear that they're more worried about whether gays are allowed to marry than they are about their own jobs - I just don't know what to say to that.

Ah well. To show I've not totally given up here's some inspiration from Middle-Earth:

Frodo : I can't do this Sam.
Sam : I know. It's all wrong. By rights we shouldn't even be here. But we are. It's like in the great stories, Mr. Frodo. The ones that really mattered. Full of darkness and danger, they were. And sometimes you didn't want to know the end. Because how could the end be happy? How could the world go back to the way it was when so much bad had happened? But in the end, it's only a passing thing, this shadow. Even darkness must pass. A new day will come. And when the sun shines it will shine out the clearer. Those were the stories that stayed with you. That meant something, even if you were too small to understand why. But I think, Mr. Frodo, I do understand. I know now. Folk in those stories had lots of chances of turning back, only they didn't. They kept going. Because they were holding on to something.
Frodo : What are we holding on to Sam?
Sam : That there's some good in this world, Mr. Frodo... and it's worth fighting for.


and I'm highly amused by Marry an American - coalition of the willing indeed.

Date: 4 Nov 2004 06:58 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dwarfrage.livejournal.com
I hear ya. Of course I haven't been involved for the last 20 years, cause well, I wasn't all that politically aware at age 5.

There isn't much to do, I have been saying that it's all about turn out, and well Republicans generally win the turn-out battle. What to do is look at the message. Anecdotally, I know of at least one person who voted for Bush, and she's pro-gay rights, pro-choice, pro-polyamory, pro-welfare, however, on the issue of security she's downright conservative. Ergo, she voted for Bush.

And gay marriage/civil rights, and others.

As much as I hate to say, it may be time to turn into the pragmatic party. Get tougher on security, stop pushing the extremes of the social issues for the time being.

More importantly, someone who actually knows how to sell an idea needs to get into the running. Needs to be able to tell the American people insimple terms, "I voted for the war because I believe that it was the right thing to do, I voted against the 87 Billion because I wanted to actually pay for it now, and not force your children and my children *move camera to look at youngsters in the audience* to pay for in 10, 20 years."

Date: 4 Nov 2004 07:15 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
I keep hearing that dems got trounced, that it was a horrible defeat etc etc, but I'm not sure why. yes, in terms of congress it was a terrible defeat, but in terms of numbers it was close. If the lakers beat the pistons 118-110 you don't say the game was a blowout. I really worry about peoples reaction when next we have an election that really is a blowout.

Date: 4 Nov 2004 07:22 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dwarfrage.livejournal.com
I'd say yes and no. Sure it was within 4-5% of the 50% mark in a majority of the states. However, more states voted in Republican Senators and House members, so the effective power became a trouncing. Also, the anti-gay marriage ballots in all 11 states passed with a good percentage, liberal Oregan was the closest at about 55/45.

So no, it wasn't Mondale v. Reagan. However, it was a good large victory. Plus, considering in 2000, the shift of two seats in the senate giving the Republicans a 49/51 was considered a mandate then, this just reinforces it, ignoring that it's but a 3% difference.

the bar was set too high (defining blowout)

Date: 4 Nov 2004 07:32 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] acroyear70.livejournal.com
a 3.5 million person gap between the parties for the presidency is unheard of. a candidate actually having a majority vote (51%) is extremely rare. most races are 49% to 47%, with 3rd parties having a slightly better showing.

yes, relative to the 280 million population of the country (say, 220 million legally allowed to vote, and 114 million did) it doesn't seem like a lot, but it is huge compared to most elections of the 20th century.

but as for calling it a blowout / horrible defeat? well, you kinda have to blame Clinton for that one, in that his supporters (mind you, including Carville, who's just about as bad as Rove) were calling 1996 a "landslide" victory against Dole, when the numbers turned out to only have been a million votes apart.
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
You have to view the results relative to the total population. Republicans are crowing about how more people voted for bush than any candidate in history. Well more people voted against him too. We have more people eligible to vote than ever before. The next election will feature more voters still. That's a non-event. So 3% for an election where 3rd party candidates didn't show up is just hard to to see as a landslide. If I can blame clinton, that usually makes me happy. He was responsible for all the world's ills.

Date: 4 Nov 2004 07:48 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
I disagree on one point. I thought there were better choices back at primary time. I think when Kerry got the nomination, the republicans breathed a sigh of relief.

sadly true

Date: 4 Nov 2004 07:51 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] zammis.livejournal.com
goddamn Iowa. I couldve gotten much more fired up for Dean.

Re: sadly true

Date: 4 Nov 2004 07:56 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
Dean had an A rating from the NRA, and was so much better at getting crowds behind him. He has run his state for years and years of solid financials, good performance from his schools, low crime and good healthcare. We would have seen a very different outcome.

Re: sadly true

Date: 4 Nov 2004 08:17 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] faireraven.livejournal.com
Dean was being endorsed by EVERYONE two years ago... And one good screwup got him trashed in iowa.

Yeah, I could have gotten behind Dean FAR more than behind Kerry.

Re: sadly true

Date: 4 Nov 2004 08:27 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dwarfrage.livejournal.com
Well that's the problem with the current television system. With insta-gratification something relatively minor (a mike being misdirected) will get covered, while the explanation will get nothing because it's not interesting.

*Shrug* It's a feed the beast scenario.

Re: sadly true

Date: 4 Nov 2004 08:34 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] faireraven.livejournal.com
Actually, Dean is playing that up now with his new book... He keeps shouting about different states it could be selling in... Like IOWA... or NEW HAMPSHIRE... :)

*sigh*

I believe Jay Leno said the other night, "If god had meant for us to vote, he would have given us candidates."

Date: 4 Nov 2004 08:00 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
Kerry was better than Gore, but that's not saying much at all. Kerry at least won his home state.

Date: 4 Nov 2004 08:53 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] deboranter.livejournal.com
Actually I thought Kerry was a damn good candidate. I think his political machinery was messed up and somehow it failed to come across how good he is. Hunter S. Thompson said something telling: "I have known him for thirty years as a good man with a brave heart -- which is more than even the president's friends will tell you about George W. Bush, who is also an old acquaintance from the white-knuckle days of yesteryear." What is telling about that is that LOTS of people have always said that about Kerry. I saw him as a man who truly cared about his country and had served as a senator for lo these many years with his conscience intact. He was a good man when he was my senator when I lived in Mass. I worked on his campaign then and I was happy to give him money during this fight.

I think Dean looked good but I think he would have been cremated during the general election. It wasn't one mistake -- He could not have unified this country any better than Dubya has or will. Way too far over to the left.

I don't know what it would have taken for that to come out during this election. I felt, all through the election, that certain things weren't talked about -- that Kerry was always on the defensive and never should have had to have been. I wish I knew what it would take for someone to defeat that.

Date: 4 Nov 2004 10:18 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
I didn't know Kerry. I don't think most people did. I'll tell you this much though, when I saw him speak, I didn't like him. Wanted to. Didn't. When I looked at his history, I liked him even less. If he's not running against Bush, I don't want him winning anything. On his own merits, I'd oppose him. Standing in front of my ballot I spent some time thinking about putting my mark next to Badnarik where it belonged. But I held my nose and voted against Bush.

I would have donated money to Dean. The thing that kept him out of the nomination was this idea that other people wouldn't like him. The concept of "electability", that I'm convinced we got from the republicans. Excellent gambit it if did come from them, got them a candidate they could beat. Dubya unified the country more than Kerry was able to, and thats all it takes.

Date: 4 Nov 2004 08:09 (UTC)

Date: 4 Nov 2004 09:20 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
Isn't it two years? If I recall right, some portions of, is it the senate, go up on the block in two years.

Date: 4 Nov 2004 11:51 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] acroyear70.livejournal.com
the senate elections are pretty much divided into thirds, so one-third of the senate is up for election every 2 years.

Date: 5 Nov 2004 07:40 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] estherchaya.livejournal.com
I'm not touching politics here. but I'm going to make a very pedantic point, and I hope you'll pardon my french:

that he was able to get more votes than any other presidential candidate ever just boggles.

That statistic is bullshit and it pisses me off to no end. That Bush was the first president to receive the majority of the popular vote (i.e. more than 50%) since 1980 is a valid statistic. But this bullshit that Andy Card pulled Wednesday morning saying that Bush received more votes than any other presidential candidate in history pisses me off. It's an irrelevant number when you consider that more voters turned out for this election than any election in history. Oh, and that our population is greater than it ever has been. And that we have more voters registered than any time in history. THAT is why he had more votes than any presidential candidate in history. But he did NOT get the largest PROPORTIONAL number of votes in history. Reagan took 49 states in 1980. If there had been as many registered voters 24 years ago, I have no doubt that Reagan would have kicked Bush's ass in terms of the number of voters that voted for him.

Sorry. I just had to rant. That statistic is being thrown around by both sides and it ticks me off.

can the left separate money from lifestyle?

Date: 4 Nov 2004 07:20 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] acroyear70.livejournal.com
the problem the left faced is the whole "all or nothing" package -- any one item could (and sometimes does) turn people to the right.

there are those who are socially conservative, "moral values" and all that, who are being economically devastated by the republican policies, but simply don't see that at all (this constitutes in my opinion, the majority of the south and midwest republicans in rural areas). I have no doubts in my mind that Kansas itself, traditionally the breadbasket of the world, will have poor people starving to death within the next 10 years if things don't change.

on the other hand are those who are socially moderate to at least being tolerant of more liberal views regarding socail freedoms, but republican policies keep their stock value up, keep their corporations performing (by deregulation of restrictions against pollution and other things that some corporations say are holding them back), allow them to keep more of their money rather than pay for welfare recipients and school programs that their children aren't actually participating in, and (theoretically) keep their gasoline cheap (even though *two* wars have been started in the middle east by republicans, both of which jumped the gas prices).

both sides, moral values and let me keep my own damn money, thank you, are extremely strong emotional factors that currently balance their views towards the right, regardless of the harm it does them directly (the moral values side) or the society and planet as a whole (the "financial" republicans).

i really don't know what to do about it.

consider that in the early days of the great depression, the republicans who held onto all 3 (house, senate, president) during the roaring 20s were given one last chance in 1930 to solve the problem.

they finally failed and "the new deal" was put in place with democrats running all three until after the war.

the only other time republicans held all three was ike's first time, election of 1952, which happened partly as a backlash against mccarthyism, and partly on ike's own popularity and momentum supporting the party.

however, at the time, ike had a more moderate agenda; the boom was starting, the wave of post-war prosperity was coming, and the best thing to do was to just ride it out. republican policies weren't as...risky...as they are now. the extremists currently pushing a reactionary agenda didn't exist in such powerfully influential numbers as they do now.

That book i keep mentioning, What's The Matter with Kansas, basically concludes that the extremists currently controlling the Republican party are a reactionary group, aiming to effectively undo the entire 20th century. Their eventual goal is to relive the 1870s, where one party controlled everything, the government was morally corrupt with regards to bribery and favorable treatment to corporations, monopolies were easy to achieve and almost protected by law, labor unions had no power to change anything, welfare programs didn't exist, socially-supported health-care proposals were non-existent, exploitation of the seemingly infinite natural resources of the west was at an all-time high, and at the same time the popular perception of the people was that there was an extreme social "high moral ground", dominated by christian attitudes...

...oh, add to that how bigotry was legally protected, and Darwin was still something to be debated and espoused from public education because the Bible couldn't possibly be wrong when it came to science.

To some people, the simplicity of such a time, the ability to live in such utter government-mandated self-centeredness, is such an attractive pipe dream that they simply don't see the negative-side reality of how much that sucked. they are utterly blind to how wrong that era was and how bad it was for the nation and the people...

...and utterly blind to how quickly it will destroy the world should it be recreated today.
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
The "let me keep my own money" position is one that the democrats could take away from the republicans. With the past four years as an example, the republicans haven't met a bill they aren't willing to pay, and the only way to pay it is with taxpayer dollars. If dems went for restrained spending and took a hard line on "pay as you go", they would appear more fiscally responsible. But it would take a mental adjustment for them to do that, and I wonder if they can.
From: [identity profile] acroyear70.livejournal.com
it would take a (LONG) campaign of undoing the "tax and spend" label the right have planted on the word "liberal" -- even as Clinton actually had the least number of government-support programs of any democratic administration by the time his term was up (thanks to the stalemate caused by the republican congress), he was still a "tax and spend" liberal who was going to overtax the rich and give the money away to the welfare state.

the democrats simply can not undo the ability of the right to label them today based on the politics and policies of The New Deal era (when the welfare state was the only way out of the depression).

as long as the fiscal right can say "tax cuts are good in a good economy" and "tax cuts are good in a bad economy" and have people believe it, fiscally responsible leaders who know that taxes are necessary to keep society functioning at all will be powerless.
From: [identity profile] dwarfrage.livejournal.com
That's why I get back to selling them. Both sides have turned into the spending party, the Republicans Debt and Spend, the Democrats Tax and Spend. What the PR guys for the Democrats need to do is not react so much, but attack them on these inconsistencies.

But I can dream about that.
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
One of the things that I can't understand is how the democrats manage to have such terrible PR. John Kerry could have walked into a burning building and saved a dozen infants singlehandedly, and the next day the newspapers would have a picture of him huddled under a rescue blanket, soot stained and coughing his lungs out, under the headline "candidate takes foolish risks with his own health and safety"
From: [identity profile] acroyear70.livejournal.com
because anger and vile are more powerful than humor.

because rumor and lies are easier to sell than factual truth.

the "spokesmen" on the left include janeane gerafalo, al franken, and john stewart. they tell the truth, factually supported, using a little humor and sarcasm along the way to lighten the pain.

the "spokesmen" on the right are hannity, rush, coulter. people who breath anger with every word they say, people who lie with near impunity. people who so lack humor that they call the obviously sarcastic comments made by the humorists "lies" because its all they know.

political humor requires a degree of intelligence, education, and patience to understand, so that approach simply can't reach a large enough audience.

consider that most newspapers have been slowly eliminating their political cartoonists for *years* simply because too many people don't get it anymore. it used to be that political cartoons were the only way to reach people -- now even they are too sophisticated for "normal people".

so anger and telling people what they want to hear works, and humor and telling people that things aren't good and there are liars in the government taking away your freedoms and destroying your planet and your social programs that you've come to depend on simply gets ignored.

basically the left is silenced until the moral-side right are so in pain by the destruction of their world that they have no choice but to go back to the democrats and readopt a progressive attitude...but that will take years.
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
I think aprt of that ties into the stereotypes of liberals as being sort of bland inoffensive unwilling to make a statement for fear of offending anyone. There's space between the the mild defensive posture the democrats take, and the rabid attack posture the republicans take, where some effective PR can happen. But the dems won't even go there, because it requires more assertiveness than they seem to be comfortable. Translation. They need to be less wimpy.

I saw a comment on TV last night. One state polls showed that 38% trusted bush around the subject of the economy. The state had lost thousands of jobs and the economic well being was way down. And yes, 52% of the state voted bush. If you can't carry a state where 62% of the public doesn't trust bush's handling of the economy, you have no business in politics.
From: [identity profile] acroyear70.livejournal.com
again that's part of the whole message of "What's the Matter with Kansas?" -- many of the people in the rural midwest and south *simply don't see* the economics when it comes to placing that vote. the moral high ground is SO extreme, the hatred bred for "massechusetts liberals" so vile, that the economic reality of their station is utterly lost in the emotions.

it doesn't matter how loudly you yell at them that their livelyhoods are destroyed by corporate greed and that the tax cuts and deficits are hurting the very social programs designed to keep them alive during down-turn economies like now. they simply can't hear it.

i heard one commentator on wtop go through this vitrole on how gay marriage was just absolutely going to "destroy the family", as if gays were suddenly going to march down the street burning down houses, kidnapping kids to do *whatever* to them, indoctrinate homosexuality as a mandate into the school system, etc etc. his voice showed absolute FEAR of gays. he preached fear to people. utterly irrational fear.

nothing any rational person can do can fight that. the people who heard that message and believed (55-65% in 11 states so far...) will NEVER be able to support any rational economic agenda that is in their best interests as long as gay rights are part of the deal.
From: [identity profile] dwarfrage.livejournal.com
his voice showed absolute FEAR of gays. he preached fear to people. utterly irrational fear.

nothing any rational person can do can fight that.


Which is why I don't want to pursue the social types, instead, I'd downplay the social issues, such as gay marriage, go for more fiscal responsibility, and general civil rights thus to get the NRA on your side (I'm a card carrying member of both the ACLU and NRA, and it's slightly twitchy at times) and leave the moral right to the other guys.

Cause you know what? For the 18-30 year olds, the gay issue has already decided, from what I've read. We're just not in power yet to legislate it.
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
We're just not in power yet to legislate it.

Campaigning to young people is a bad plan. It's oldthink, but they just don't vote. Don't waste much time on them. And yes, under 30 is young. I hope that acceptance will carry forward, and politics will look different in 20 years, but I'm not betting on it. Those of us who live in civilized environents just don't get the mindset of the deep south and the midwest.
From: [identity profile] dwarfrage.livejournal.com
Oh, I'm campaigning to young people. I'm waiting for those young people to become older people. The people ruling today, probably came of age in the 50-60's, so thus in 20 years, the younger republicans (versus newer), who tend to be more fiscal conversative, socially liberal will gain more power within the party.

Will that change anything? Got me. But I know it's better than the beating my head against the wall. Plus on the upside I just found out that my first girlfriend in college, who was a viscious, viscious homophobe (was one of the items that split us) is now pro-gay rights & marriage, after her best friend came out as gay.
From: [identity profile] acroyear70.livejournal.com
a friend coming out is the kind of thing that woke me up back in college. someone i knew and considered a friend for a few months my freshman year took me to a party of sci-fi types, and basically was open with flirting with another gay man at it.

and i realized i hadn't even noticed. i realized he was exactly the same person i knew the day before so why the hell should that fact change anything in me or my friendship with him?

it was part of who he was and to separate it from him mentally would have been living a lie in my head for the sake of some comfort value that i really didn't need.
From: [identity profile] acroyear70.livejournal.com
I wish I could say this is what happened:

Image

but the reality is this, written by my brother, a grad student and TA at NCSU in Raleigh:

i tried, really i did... but very early on i became discouraged and gave up:

i never considered working for "the party" or trying to change anyone's mind, my plan was simply to encourage my younger college student friends to vote. the thinking was that college students, being young, educated, and "not wealthy", would tend to agree more with the left, which is what i remember from politics class back when i was in school. but what i found out was that real life didn't match the theory...

i started by identifying friends who would potentially vote democrat by asking them about some of the issues. if they said things that agreed with my POV, then i would say "so, you're gonna vote for kerry, right?" the answers i got were really depressing, and these are all direct quotes from my friends: "no, i can't vote for someone if i don't know what their convictions are"; "no, i don't want to allow gay marriage"; "no, my family has always voted republican"; "no, we need to project a strong image to the terrorists". after hearing that enough times, i gave up. (well, i did vote, and i did tell people which judges to vote for in the non-partisan section of the ballot, but no more "work" from me.) it was really starting to bother me, almost as much as my biology major friend who doesn't believe in evolution, but don't get me started on that one...

the ncsu newspaper on monday put into words what i was experiencing. they had taken a survey of a few thousand students and found that when it came to the issues 59% agreed with kerry; however, 58% said they were going to vote for bush. part of me wants to scream "YOU STUPID MORONS!!!!", but i would only be advancing the stereotype of the bitter post-election liberal. which, actually, i am...
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
You can sell people 12 oz of filtered tap water for $2. If you do it right, you can get people to believe damn near anything. It may not be easy, and it may take a while, but it can be done. After all, it's not filtered tap water, its evian.

But yes, they picked a bad fight and they let the opponent frame the fight in his terms. It shouldn't have been about "gay marriage" at all. It should have been about "not meddling in peoples private lives" or whatever phrase conveys a sense of not screwing with people. Democrats suck at word choice. For a stereotype of being literate educated college people, they don't seem to get the whole word thing.

From: [identity profile] acroyear70.livejournal.com
the trouble is (with that particular topic) marriage is not a "private lives" thing. what happens AFTER the marriage is, but the act of marriage is a public declaration of commitment, licensed and signed by the state, with specific rights and privilages granted by the state, the nation, and many aspects of the corporate world (insurers, brokers, lawyers, etc).

doesn't mean it should make any damn difference, but "private" is not a word to describe marriage. it is a public statement.
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
You don't understand sales.

:)
From: [identity profile] dwarfrage.livejournal.com
Well then the Democrats would have to decide which portion of the Republican party they wish to claim. Personally I'd prefer something a tad more hawkish and financially conservative, but that's just me. :)
From: [identity profile] voltbang.livejournal.com
Oh, and I forgot to mention. The dems don't have to go that far. There's a major weapon of the right that's sitting unguarded and easy to steal. Guns. Clinton said that the NRA cost Al Gore that election. The NRA has more members than the difference between the totals in this one. And it's not like it's a subject that the party is adamant about. They gave up the fight a few years ago, and it only became an issue this time because the candidate was so far left.

maybe toles is righta bout this...

Date: 4 Nov 2004 09:25 (UTC)
From: [identity profile] acroyear70.livejournal.com
Image

maybe the people simply don't want to relive "the new deal" anymore.

if so, then an entirely new economic plan needs to be developed that can protect the environment while still letting corporations think they can continue to develop and grow, keep taxes low, keep at the very least the schools covered, keep the military supported throughout the stages of the war on terror, support existing health-care plans, keep social security operational for as long as it can, and reduce the debt...

oh, never mind. nobody can do that. :)

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